By Barry Rosen
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Global and Market Overview
The U.S. stock market remains remarkably resilient and continues to show strength as we head into early 2026. Despite being extended, technical and planetary patterns still indicate higher prices in the short term, targeting S&P 500 cash near 6,973 and Nasdaq futures at 26,500–27,000.
While an 8% correction is possible, repeated setups for such a decline have not materialized. The broader cycle still targets a final high in January 2026, followed by a more meaningful retracement.
Planetary highlights:
– Jupiter stations retrograde on Nov. 11, often leads to a strong rally into the station, followed by brief consolidation or reversal. Yet, Jupiter’s trine to the Sun (Cancer–Scorpio) into Nov. 17 brings optimism and bullish sentiment.
– Saturn turns stationary on Nov. 27, and the week before (Nov. 17–24) could bring turbulence or a short-term correction window.
– Rahu in Aquarius, linked to technological innovation and biotech enthusiasm, remains powerfully aspected by Jupiter after Dec. 8 into June 2026 suggesting that tech stocks could continue to outperform even as the broader market peaks.
Political context:
The ongoing government shutdown is likely to persist until Thanksgiving week. Mercury’s conjunction with Mars fuels negotiation gridlock; once Mercury separates after Nov. 23, progress toward an agreement becomes likely. Saturn’s stationary motion on Nov. 27 and Mercury direct on Nov. 29 further support resolution. Debate around filibuster reform for budget votes could escalate — fitting the intensity of the Pluto–Venus square (Nov. 7).
Supreme Court Policy Implications:
A pivotal decision around tariff enforcement looms near the Full Moon in Aries (Nov. 5), which falls in the U.S. 5th house — symbolizing leadership and political assertion. This configuration leans toward a Trump victory and continued tariff policy.
War Cycles and Geopolitical Pressures
Venus entering Libra (Nov. 2) brings a temporary window for peace efforts, though tensions with Russia remain elevated. The Jupiter–Saturn–Sun–Mercury Grand Trine in water signs around Nov. 16 fosters hope for negotiation breakthroughs — but this is likely the last major diplomatic window before hostilities intensify.
Mars combustion begins Nov. 6 and lasts through March 26, 2026, amplifying irritability, volatility, and aggressive impulses.
– Mars in Capricorn (Jan. 15 – Mar. 13) energizes military assertiveness, aligning with Rahu and later Saturn — a volatile phase extending into April 19, and again as Mars enters Aries (May 12–June 20).
– European divisions persist: while Hungary and Slovenia resist escalation, NATO factions push for broader engagement.
Currently, the EU’s hesitation to release €130 billion in seized Russian assets marks a temporary pause in escalation. However, with these planetary dynamics, the window for restraint may close quickly — setting the stage for war-driven safe-haven demand (gold) and potential crypto market pressure by early 2026.
Seasonal and Planetary Forecasts
November 2025:
– Grand Trine (Jupiter, Saturn, Sun, Mercury) in water signs fosters peace, stability, and wealth manifestation, peaking Nov. 16–17.
– Mars enters Scorpio → Strength for Aries/Scorpio natives; in the U.S. chart, signals hidden obstacles and fatigue.
– Venus in Libra (Nov. 3–27) → Restores harmony and encourages spending and partnerships.
– Mars combust (Nov. 6–Mar. 26) → Heightened tension and military volatility; peak irritability mid-Dec–mid-Feb.
– Mercury near Mars (through Nov. 23) → Communication breakdowns, market missteps, diplomatic strain.
– Saturn stationary (Nov. 20–Dec. 6, 0° Pisces) → Heaviness in collective sentiment; potential stress on U.S. housing and domestic affairs.
December 2025:
Holiday optimism returns as Mars, Venus, and the Sun shift into Sagittarius, lifting consumer confidence — though Mars’ combustion keeps irritability simmering beneath the surface.
The Stock Market Puzzle
Key question: When will the rally finally break?
– Short-term: Jupiter’s station and Venus in Libra stabilize the market. Targets: S&P 7000–7300 into early January.
– Medium-term: Expect a major cycle high by Jan. 2026, possibly 7,150–7,300 on S&P cash.
– Long-term risk: The next deep support sits near 5,100, but timing remains uncertain.
Stock highlights:
– NVIDIA (NVDA): Upside potential toward 220+ by January.
– Tesla (TSLA): Patterns target 550–602, with strong support above 390–411.
Sector Outlook
Crude Oil & Energy:
– Crude has turned structurally bearish, with seasonal weakness through mid-November as driving demand fades.
– Sun in Libra and subsequent Scorpio transits do not favor oil rallies; peace in the Middle East suppresses risk premiums.
– Targets: Downside to $53.50; resistance near $64.50.
– Longer-term, energy could rally to $103–108 by mid-2026, echoing the Rahu-in-Aquarius boom (2006–2008).
– ETFs: XOP 116–120 entry range; XLE 82.50.
Interest Rates:
– No rate cut expected at the December FOMC, though a downward trend may develop into June 2026.
– Structural risk rises as Jupiter exits Gemini (June 2026), lifting protection over the U.S. financial sector.
– The Saturn–Neptune conjunction in Pisces (2026) signals potential debt restructuring and banking stress.
– Echoes of 1907’s Rahu/Venus dasha banking panic suggest possible financial recalibration around 2027.
Metals: Gold & Silver:
– Near-term: Gold may test $4,200 early November, then soften into Dec. 8, followed by a rally into spring.
– Silver: Next upward leg toward $6,100 into April 2027, with support at $4,100–4,200 into the mid-Dec. low.
– Long-term: Gold projects to $10,300 by 2027 amid global currency realignment and war cycles.
– Vehicles: GLD, SLV, GDX remain favored for accumulation on dips.
Cryptocurrencies:
– Near-term: Weakness into Nov. 17 aligns with the Grand Trine’s liquidity shift. Buying window: Nov. 17–21.
– Targets: BTC 100,000, then corrections toward 95,000–80,000 before the next advance.
– Long-term: Extended upside to 225,000, with speculative extremes possible near 1.18M by 2027.
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About Barry Rosen:
